We’ve been closely watching the Crypto Currency Market if you’re able to call it that, with all the current fake data, fraud, and related problems. One thing sticks out – it is not so different than FX, commodities, futures, or stocks. Market dynamics are market dynamics. And as most readers of this fine site will already know – many traders lose. There’s been analysis done with this, everybody knows how this ends. A few early investors come up with a bundle and thousands or millions even stay holding the bag. From one perspective, a bubble is a lot like a ponzi scheme. In MLM, there are a few who get wealthy – the founders.
If you’re not the founder – you need to which Crypto will probably be the following Bitcoin? You really do not. You have no clue. You can look to Korea and do every one of the research you would like, the fact remains that it’s impossible to begin to see the future as well as a top analyst might be wrong occasionally.
Quant traders have the same doctrine they all share – they may be smart enough to understand how stupid they are. They know their very own flaws and they endure a greater power- that’s Artificial Intelligence.
Computing power is currently so massive it is feasible that anyone can using their own home office create an intelligent trading system that does well. Needless to say, much like the laws of market dynamics, you can even produce a robot which is worth exactly zero – a big pile of crap. When a quant makes an algorithm it’s either priceless or worthless. If it functions, she has effectively designed a profitable machine. If this doesn’t happen work, there isn’t any value to anyone even if it’s just academics.
How do you know very well what method works, how to construct an operating bot or acquire one? There are obvious conflicts of great interest in those who sell bots. The internet continues to be dominated by good marketeers, while profitable quants mostly keep their methods to themselves. Selling an item, and trading a robot, are very 2 different skills.
Crypto to date has proven the same as most markets: impossible to trade.
Although many are kicking themselves because of not buying and holding, Let me tell you as being a trader and I speak for several space that there’s not a way I might experienced the patience to sit with a hugely profitable position for 3 years as the price goes parabolic.
That is why quants develop and trade algorithms – picking entries and exits can prove to be brain-destroying. There are dangers and risks with robots too needless to say, but you are of a different nature.
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