Both once the CBOE future expired now, if the CME bitcoin future is on its way settlement, there was clearly a substantial loss of the bitcoin price. Both futures has a good low volume and that i would guess that they are dominated by a unitary liquidity provider\/market maker. This market maker is usually short the longer term and maybe long the location. At expiry, they’ll profit if your cost is low and also have a border after settlement when the cost rebounds. Sadly both CME and CBOE has chosen an extremely bad settlement processes that are all to easy to manipulate. For CBOE oahu is the auction price for Gemini – a tender using a really small volume more often than not.
CME’s model is better, however of low quality, VWAP about the four major exchanges a very good idea, in case that VWAP is calculated on one minute of trading it’s meaningless. With few large participants, the degree on such a brief time span is incredibly limited. Regardless if many large participants might have interests in a of those settlement processes they’d more than likely have the same position and advantages of the identical side with the market manipulation. The VWAP have to have been calculated over hrs instead). Concluding is we likely will see a large amount of strange market activity around each future expiration and expect a rebound after 3 pm Central time today!.
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